Serie A · 2021/22
2022-04-03 · 14:00
12.4139.8%
X3.3428.7%
23.0531.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
DDWWLDLDWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Napoli
WLDWDWWDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.60
1.20
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.70
1.80
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.00
Against
3.20
8.50
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.60
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
3.10
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.90goals per match
Napoli conceded0.90
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.60goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.00
Corners against
3.20
8.50
Match total
7.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.80
Match total
4.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
24.80
Match total
27.10

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
5.00
On target
4.10
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches297
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.8%42.1%+2.3 pp
Draw28.7%29.3%+0.6 pp
Away31.5%28.6%-2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.6%
BTTS55.6%

Historical average

1.481.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.5%
2-19.1%
1-28.4%
0-18.4%
2-08.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.514.63
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=296.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.9%
Over 9.557.8%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.531.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches92
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.7%24.9%–43.8% CI
Draw FT39.1%29.8%–49.3% CI
Away FT27.2%19.1%–37.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals19.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.6%
Away54.3%