Serie A · 2021/22
2022-04-03 · 11:30
11.5561.8%
X4.4121.7%
25.8216.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
WWWWDWLWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Empoli
LDWDDDDLDL
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.00
2.00
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.60N=10
2.90
Against
4.80
7.70
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
3.50
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

2.50goals per match
Empoli conceded1.20
Matchup

Empoli attack

0.90goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
2.90
Corners against
4.80
7.70
Match total
9.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.10
Match total
5.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
24.90
Match total
25.00

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
6.60
On target
4.00
16%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches123
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.8%65.0%+3.2 pp
Draw21.7%16.3%-5.5 pp
Away16.5%18.7%+2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.534.1%
BTTS56.1%

Historical average

2.080.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.8%
2-09.8%
1-09.8%
1-28.1%
1-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.343.89
Average total10.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=123.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.546.3%
Over 11.534.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.7%47.9%–78.5% CI
Draw FT26.5%14.6%–43.1% CI
Away FT8.8%3.0%–23.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.79

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals55.9%
3+ goals29.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home79.4%
Away41.2%