Serie A · 2021/22
2022-04-02 · 17:00
11.7554.7%
X4.0923.4%
24.3921.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lazio
WWLDWDDWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Sassuolo
LWDDWDLWWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
2.30
1.20
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.20
1H goals
2.50
1.90
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.00
Against
5.20
7.80
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
2.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
3.10
Total goals
4.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lazio attack
1.90goals per matchSassuolo conceded1.70Matchup
Sassuolo attack
2.30goals per matchLazio conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.20
7.80
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.60
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
24.50
Match total
26.80
Shots
12.00N=10
Shots
15.90N=10
4.40
On target
6.40
16%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches48
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.7%58.3%+3.6 pp
Draw23.4%20.8%-2.6 pp
Away21.8%20.8%-1.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS64.6%
Historical average
1.83–1.21
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-118.8%
1-012.5%
1-110.4%
4-16.3%
1-26.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.75–5.04
Average total10.79
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=48.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.547.9%
Over 11.539.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.45
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.6%
Away54.5%