Serie A · 2021/22
2022-04-02 · 14:00
12.1345.0%
X3.3228.9%
23.6726.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
DWLDDLWLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Venezia
DLDWLDLWLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.20
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.60
Against
7.10
9.00
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
2.00
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.00goals per match
Venezia conceded1.60
Matchup

Venezia attack

0.80goals per match
Spezia conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
20%2/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
100%10/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.60
Corners against
7.10
9.00
Match total
10.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.50
Match total
3.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
27.60
Match total
24.00

Shots

9.70N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
3.30
On target
3.10
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches386
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.0%41.2%-3.8 pp
Draw28.9%30.6%+1.7 pp
Away26.1%28.2%+2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS59.3%

Historical average

1.471.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.1%
2-111.1%
1-08.5%
0-17.8%
1-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.394.37
Average total9.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=386.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.528.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches122
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.5%22.1%–38.1% CI
Draw FT41.0%32.7%–49.9% CI
Away FT29.5%22.1%–38.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.7%
2+ goals41.0%
3+ goals13.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.6%
Away53.3%