Serie A · 2021/22
2022-03-19 · 19:45
15.5217.4%
X4.0123.9%
21.6358.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
WLLDDLWDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Milan
WWLWDWWWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
2.50
1.70
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.50
1.90
2H goals
2.30
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.70
Against
4.40
10.30
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.50
1.70
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
3.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.10goals per match
Milan conceded1.30
Matchup

Milan attack

2.50goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.90
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.70
Corners against
4.40
10.30
Match total
9.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.00
Match total
5.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
29.50
Match total
25.60

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
3.30
On target
5.40
9%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.4%17.5%+0.1 pp
Draw23.9%17.5%-6.4 pp
Away58.8%65.0%+6.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.527.5%
BTTS47.5%

Historical average

0.821.68

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-220.0%
0-117.5%
1-310.0%
1-07.5%
0-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.236.60
Average total9.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.535.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Draw FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Away FT62.5%38.6%–81.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals31.3%
3+ goals6.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home31.3%
Away62.5%