Serie A · 2021/22
2022-03-19 · 17:00
11.5063.9%
X4.5920.9%
26.3015.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Inter
WWWWWWWLLW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Fiorentina
LLLLWDLDWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
5.80N=10
2.30
Against
3.80
9.40
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
3.00
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Inter attack

2.20goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.60
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

0.90goals per match
Inter conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
2.30
Corners against
3.80
9.40
Match total
9.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.00
Match total
4.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
25.10
Match total
27.30

Shots

20.50N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
8.50
On target
3.40
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches81
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.9%70.4%+6.5 pp
Draw20.9%21.0%+0.1 pp
Away15.2%8.6%-6.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.1%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.5%
BTTS58.0%

Historical average

2.380.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-016.0%
2-112.3%
1-111.1%
3-18.6%
4-06.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.623.65
Average total10.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=81.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.534.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.5%25.6%–63.2% CI
Draw FT43.5%25.6%–63.2% CI
Away FT13.0%4.5%–32.1% CI

Remaining goals

2.04

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.0%
2+ goals73.9%
3+ goals30.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.3%
Away56.5%