Serie A · 2021/22
2022-03-13 · 17:00
11.3471.4%
X5.0918.8%
29.819.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
LDDWWLDLDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Genoa
LDDDLLDLDD
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.80
1.50
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
2.10
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.20
Against
5.00
9.20
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.90
3.60
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.10goals per match
Genoa conceded1.90
Matchup

Genoa attack

0.80goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.00
9.20
Match total
7.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.10
Match total
4.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
24.50
Match total
26.30

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
5.40
On target
2.40
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches55
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.4%70.9%-0.5 pp
Draw18.8%18.2%-0.6 pp
Away9.8%10.9%+1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.532.7%
BTTS41.8%

Historical average

2.160.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-020.0%
1-014.5%
1-27.3%
3-07.3%
5-15.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.713.29
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=55.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.1%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.2%49.1%–87.5% CI
Draw FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT5.6%1.0%–25.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home77.8%
Away22.2%