Serie A · 2021/22
2022-03-13 · 14:00
13.4727.6%
X3.5527.0%
22.1145.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Verona
WWWDLDLWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Napoli
DWLDWDWWDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
0.80
80%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.60
1.80
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.10
Against
3.60
10.00
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
0.80
3.00
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Verona attack

2.00goals per match
Napoli conceded0.80
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.40goals per match
Verona conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.10
Corners against
3.60
10.00
Match total
7.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.10
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
24.90
Match total
26.70

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
5.80
On target
4.00
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches175
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.6%26.9%-0.8 pp
Draw27.0%29.1%+2.2 pp
Away45.4%44.0%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.528.0%
BTTS60.6%

Historical average

1.191.57

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.6%
0-29.7%
1-29.7%
2-17.4%
0-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.455.15
Average total9.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=175.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.4%
Over 9.548.0%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.529.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches48
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%8.7%–29.6% CI
Draw FT43.8%30.7%–57.7% CI
Away FT39.6%27.0%–53.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals60.4%
3+ goals20.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.9%
Away64.6%