Serie A · 2021/22
2022-03-13 · 11:30
11.6558.1%
X4.0623.6%
25.2518.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
WWWWWDWLWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Bologna
DLWWLWLLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.50
80%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.90
2.00
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.70N=10
2.90
Against
4.80
7.20
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
3.70
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

2.70goals per match
Bologna conceded1.50
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.10goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
2.90
Corners against
4.80
7.20
Match total
8.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.70
Match total
5.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
25.00
Match total
28.80

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
6.60
On target
4.50
17%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches99
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.1%57.6%-0.5 pp
Draw23.6%21.2%-2.4 pp
Away18.3%21.2%+2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.529.3%
BTTS56.6%

Historical average

1.831.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.2%
1-09.1%
1-19.1%
2-08.1%
3-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.704.00
Average total9.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=99.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.6%
Over 9.548.5%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%24.5%–61.2% CI
Draw FT29.2%14.9%–49.2% CI
Away FT29.2%14.9%–49.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.2%
2+ goals45.8%
3+ goals20.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.2%
Away54.2%