Serie A · 2021/22
2022-03-12 · 19:45
11.3670.2%
X5.2218.3%
28.3311.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
WDLWLWLDWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Empoli
WLDWDDDDLD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.00
0.50
2H goals
1.30
40%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.40
Against
4.70
9.70
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.00
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.10goals per match
Empoli conceded1.20
Matchup

Empoli attack

1.10goals per match
Milan conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
40%4/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.70
9.70
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.70
Match total
5.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
27.90
Match total
26.00

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
4.50
On target
4.40
7%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches98
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.2%73.5%+3.2 pp
Draw18.3%15.3%-3.0 pp
Away11.5%11.2%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS49.0%

Historical average

2.370.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-015.3%
2-114.3%
2-012.2%
1-08.2%
1-16.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.863.57
Average total10.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=98.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.534.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.9%40.8%–77.8% CI
Draw FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI
Away FT8.7%2.4%–26.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals52.2%
3+ goals4.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.6%
Away21.7%