Serie A · 2021/22
2022-03-12 · 19:45
11.3670.2%
X5.2218.3%
28.3311.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Milan
WDLWLWLDWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Empoli
WLDWDDDDLD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.00
0.50
2H goals
1.30
40%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.40
Against
4.70
9.70
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.00
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Milan attack
1.10goals per matchEmpoli conceded1.20Matchup
Empoli attack
1.10goals per matchMilan conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.70
9.70
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.70
Match total
5.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.90N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
27.90
Match total
26.00
Shots
15.70N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
4.50
On target
4.40
7%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches98
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.2%73.5%+3.2 pp
Draw18.3%15.3%-3.0 pp
Away11.5%11.2%-0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS49.0%
Historical average
2.37–0.83
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-015.3%
2-114.3%
2-012.2%
1-08.2%
1-16.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.86–3.57
Average total10.43
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=98.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.534.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.9%40.8%–77.8% CI
Draw FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI
Away FT8.7%2.4%–26.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.35
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals52.2%
3+ goals4.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home69.6%
Away21.7%