Serie A · 2021/22
2022-03-12 · 14:00
12.7634.7%
X3.2029.9%
22.7135.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
WDWLDDLWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Cagliari
LDDLLWLWDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.30
1H goals
0.80
1.80
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.10
Against
5.20
8.70
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
2.10
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.00goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.50
Matchup

Cagliari attack

0.90goals per match
Spezia conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
100%10/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
2.30N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.20
8.70
Match total
7.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.50
Match total
4.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.50N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
27.70
Match total
26.90

Shots

10.30N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
3.10
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches382
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.7%29.1%-5.7 pp
Draw29.9%29.6%-0.4 pp
Away35.4%41.4%+6.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS52.4%

Historical average

1.111.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.2%
1-113.6%
0-08.6%
1-08.4%
2-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.054.66
Average total9.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=382.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.549.0%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.525.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches137
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.6%16.4%–30.3% CI
Draw FT40.1%32.3%–48.5% CI
Away FT37.2%29.6%–45.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals37.2%
3+ goals12.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.9%
Away59.1%