Premiership · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 14:00
12.1443.3%
X3.4926.5%
23.0730.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
St Mirren
WDLDWLLWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Dundee United
DWLLWLDLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
0.40
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
2.40
20%
Over 2.5
70%
0%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
2.40
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.80
Against
5.80
11.40
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.40
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
2.40
1.70
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
St Mirren attack
0.40goals per matchDundee United conceded2.40Matchup
Dundee United attack
1.30goals per matchSt Mirren conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.80
Corners against
5.80
11.40
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.40
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
21.60
Match total
22.10
Shots
13.20N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
3.70
On target
4.50
3%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches754
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.3%43.4%+0.1 pp
Draw26.5%28.9%+2.4 pp
Away30.2%27.7%-2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.529.0%
BTTS54.6%
Historical average
1.52–1.17
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.1%
1-09.8%
2-18.9%
1-28.0%
2-27.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.42–4.53
Average total9.95
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=753.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.529.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches213
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.2%30.0%–42.8% CI
Draw FT38.5%32.2%–45.2% CI
Away FT25.4%20.0%–31.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.37
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.6%
2+ goals39.0%
3+ goals16.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.9%
Away42.7%