Premiership · 2025/26
2026-05-16 · 12:30
12.5835.9%
X3.3427.7%
22.5436.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hibernian
WWDDWWDWLL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Motherwell
DLDWWLLLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.40
0.90
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
4.10N=10
7.20
Against
4.10
11.70
Total
8.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.40
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hibernian attack
1.60goals per matchMotherwell conceded1.30Matchup
Motherwell attack
1.40goals per matchHibernian conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
7.20
Corners against
4.10
11.70
Match total
8.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.00
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.00N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
21.90
Match total
25.30
Shots
13.10N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
4.10
On target
4.80
12%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches772
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.9%34.5%-1.4 pp
Draw27.7%25.5%-2.2 pp
Away36.4%40.0%+3.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.526.8%
BTTS58.4%
Historical average
1.31–1.41
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.0%
1-211.3%
1-09.1%
2-18.3%
0-17.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.04–4.85
Average total9.89
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=772.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.529.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches217
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.9%29.9%–42.5% CI
Draw FT30.4%24.7%–36.8% CI
Away FT33.6%27.7%–40.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.61
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.6%
2+ goals44.7%
3+ goals23.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home59.0%
Away54.4%