Premiership · 2025/26
2026-05-16 · 12:30
11.5659.4%
X4.2022.1%
25.0118.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Celtic
WLWWWLWWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Hearts
WLWWLLLDWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.60
1.80
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
7.30N=10
For
6.10N=10
4.40
Against
3.50
11.70
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
3.30
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Celtic attack
2.30goals per matchHearts conceded1.30Matchup
Hearts attack
1.50goals per matchCeltic conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
4.40
Corners against
3.50
11.70
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.80
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
22.40
Match total
25.00
Shots
17.70N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
6.80
On target
5.10
13%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches206
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.4%64.1%+4.7 pp
Draw22.1%17.5%-4.6 pp
Away18.5%18.4%-0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.542.2%
BTTS56.8%
Historical average
2.24–1.02
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-010.7%
1-18.7%
2-18.7%
1-27.3%
1-07.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.20–3.95
Average total10.15
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=206.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.544.7%
Over 11.532.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.0%39.8%–69.3% CI
Draw FT30.0%18.1%–45.4% CI
Away FT15.0%7.1%–29.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.88
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.0%
2+ goals57.5%
3+ goals30.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home77.5%
Away35.0%