Premiership · 2025/26
2026-05-13 · 20:00
14.2521.8%
X4.0323.0%
21.6855.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Motherwell
WWWWDWWDLD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Celtic
WLWDWDWLWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.80
0.50
Conceded
1.50
20%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.80
1.00
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.50
Against
4.30
7.40
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.80
0.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
3.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Motherwell attack

1.70goals per match
Celtic conceded1.50
Matchup

Celtic attack

1.80goals per match
Motherwell conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.30
7.40
Match total
9.90
20%2/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.60
Match total
3.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
25.80
Match total
20.60

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
15.90N=10
6.10
On target
5.30
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches167
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.8%18.6%-3.3 pp
Draw23.0%26.3%+3.3 pp
Away55.2%55.1%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.533.5%
BTTS62.3%

Historical average

1.121.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-214.4%
1-112.6%
0-29.0%
0-18.4%
2-27.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.345.66
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=167.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.1%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%13.8%–41.1% CI
Draw FT33.3%20.2%–49.7% CI
Away FT41.7%27.1%–57.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.61

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.1%
2+ goals55.6%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away69.4%