Premiership · 2025/26
2026-05-12 · 19:45
12.1842.7%
X3.4127.3%
23.1030.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Aberdeen
WDLWLLDWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
St Mirren
LLDLLDLWLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
0.80
1.20
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
5.20N=10
5.10
Against
6.00
10.80
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
3.00
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Aberdeen attack
1.80goals per matchSt Mirren conceded1.70Matchup
St Mirren attack
0.80goals per matchAberdeen conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.00
10.80
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.60
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.80N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
26.40
Match total
25.20
Shots
12.90N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.90
On target
3.30
14%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,067
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.7%42.1%-0.6 pp
Draw27.3%28.2%+0.9 pp
Away30.0%29.7%-0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS54.3%
Historical average
1.46–1.19
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.6%
1-09.8%
2-19.0%
1-28.2%
0-17.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.64–4.50
Average total10.13
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,066.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.554.6%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.531.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches318
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT33.0%28.1%–38.4% CI
Draw FT38.7%33.5%–44.1% CI
Away FT28.3%23.6%–33.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.41
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.1%
2+ goals41.5%
3+ goals16.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.4%
Away47.8%