Premiership · 2025/26
2026-05-09 · 20:00
12.6934.5%
X3.3927.4%
22.4438.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Motherwell
WWWWWDWWDL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Hearts
WWLWWLLLDW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.60
0.40
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
5.80N=10
3.40
Against
3.80
7.50
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.60
0.40
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Motherwell attack

1.90goals per match
Hearts conceded1.30
Matchup

Hearts attack

1.60goals per match
Motherwell conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
3.40
Corners against
3.80
7.50
Match total
9.60
30%3/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.70
Match total
3.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
26.30
Match total
24.70

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
6.70
On target
4.90
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches625
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.5%31.5%-3.0 pp
Draw27.4%28.0%+0.6 pp
Away38.1%40.5%+2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.527.0%
BTTS56.0%

Historical average

1.261.40

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
0-19.6%
1-29.4%
1-08.5%
0-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.015.11
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=625.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.553.4%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.533.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches191
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.7%21.9%–34.5% CI
Draw FT37.2%30.6%–44.2% CI
Away FT35.1%28.7%–42.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.4%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals16.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.3%
Away52.9%