Premiership · 2025/26
2026-05-09 · 15:00
11.9747.1%
X3.5226.4%
23.5026.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
St Mirren
WWDLDWLLWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Kilmarnock
LDLDLLDLLL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
0.60
1.00
Conceded
2.40
10%
Over 2.5
60%
0%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.30
1.10
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.60
Against
6.40
11.40
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.60
1.00
Goals conceded
2.40
1.60
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
St Mirren attack
0.60goals per matchKilmarnock conceded2.40Matchup
Kilmarnock attack
0.60goals per matchSt Mirren conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.60
Corners against
6.40
11.40
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
2.40
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
21.30
Match total
24.50
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
4.00
On target
2.90
5%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches702
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.1%46.7%-0.4 pp
Draw26.4%27.8%+1.4 pp
Away26.5%25.5%-1.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.528.8%
BTTS56.7%
Historical average
1.60–1.13
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.4%
2-110.4%
1-010.4%
1-28.3%
0-06.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.62–4.42
Average total10.04
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=702.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.543.3%
Over 11.531.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches207
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.8%27.7%–40.5% CI
Draw FT41.1%34.6%–47.9% CI
Away FT25.1%19.7%–31.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.48
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals45.4%
3+ goals17.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.9%
Away50.2%