Premiership · 2025/26
2026-05-03 · 12:00
14.0722.8%
X3.9423.6%
21.7353.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hibernian
WWWDDWWDWL
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Celtic
LWLWDWDWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.70
0.70
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.70
1.60
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
4.90N=10
6.30
Against
5.00
11.80
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.70
0.70
Goals conceded
1.60
2.50
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hibernian attack
1.80goals per matchCeltic conceded1.60Matchup
Celtic attack
1.70goals per matchHibernian conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.90
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
6.30
Corners against
5.00
11.80
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.90
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
22.30
Match total
20.10
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
14.90N=10
4.50
On target
4.90
13%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches187
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.8%23.0%+0.2 pp
Draw23.6%24.6%+1.0 pp
Away53.6%52.4%-1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.533.7%
BTTS59.9%
Historical average
1.21–1.81
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-216.0%
1-110.2%
0-19.1%
2-27.5%
0-35.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.35–5.67
Average total10.02
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=187.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.531.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.8%13.5%–38.5% CI
Draw FT28.6%17.2%–43.6% CI
Away FT47.6%33.4%–62.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals45.2%
3+ goals23.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.2%
Away61.9%