Premiership · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 15:00
12.2740.8%
X3.4327.0%
22.8732.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Kilmarnock
DLLLWWLWWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Dundee United
DLDWLLWLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.40
1.60
Conceded
2.20
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
2.30
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.90
Against
5.60
8.70
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded
2.20
3.20
Total goals
3.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Kilmarnock attack
1.60goals per matchDundee United conceded2.20Matchup
Dundee United attack
1.40goals per matchKilmarnock conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
1.00
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.60
8.70
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.30
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.10N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
25.70
Match total
22.00
Shots
14.60N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
4.40
On target
4.50
11%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches645
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.8%39.4%-1.4 pp
Draw27.0%28.4%+1.4 pp
Away32.2%32.2%+0.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.0%
BTTS61.4%
Historical average
1.51–1.35
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.7%
1-29.8%
1-09.1%
2-18.5%
2-28.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.40–4.67
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=643.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.531.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches162
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.0%27.1%–41.5% CI
Draw FT37.0%30.0%–44.7% CI
Away FT29.0%22.6%–36.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.51
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.2%
2+ goals42.6%
3+ goals19.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.2%
Away48.1%