Premiership · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 15:00
12.6435.0%
X3.2928.1%
22.5136.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Falkirk
DLWLWWLWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Motherwell
DDLDWWLLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.40
1.60
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.80
Against
4.50
8.20
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded
1.20
3.30
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Falkirk attack

1.70goals per match
Motherwell conceded1.20
Matchup

Motherwell attack

1.40goals per match
Falkirk conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.50
8.20
Match total
8.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.90
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
25.10
Match total
25.60

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
4.20
On target
4.60
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches726
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.0%30.7%-4.3 pp
Draw28.1%29.1%+0.9 pp
Away36.9%40.2%+3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.8%
BTTS57.9%

Historical average

1.271.41

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
1-29.4%
0-19.4%
1-08.0%
0-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.044.99
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=726.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches216
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.9%21.4%–33.1% CI
Draw FT38.4%32.2%–45.1% CI
Away FT34.7%28.7%–41.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals40.7%
3+ goals17.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away54.2%