Premiership · 2025/26
2026-05-01 · 19:45
12.7234.1%
X3.3627.6%
22.4238.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Livingston
DLLDDLLDDD
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM
Aberdeen
LLLLLLDLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.20
2.00
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
30%
90%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.80
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.30
Against
5.60
11.10
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.20
2.00
Goals conceded
2.00
3.30
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Livingston attack
1.30goals per matchAberdeen conceded2.00Matchup
Aberdeen attack
0.20goals per matchLivingston conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.00
1.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.60
11.10
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.90
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.80N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
26.70
Match total
25.60
Shots
10.50N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
3.70
On target
1.60
12%
Conversion
2%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches620
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.1%30.6%-3.4 pp
Draw27.6%28.7%+1.1 pp
Away38.3%40.6%+2.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.527.9%
BTTS56.6%
Historical average
1.26–1.40
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.6%
0-110.5%
1-28.7%
1-08.1%
0-07.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.03–5.07
Average total10.10
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=620.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.533.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches188
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.6%20.8%–33.3% CI
Draw FT38.8%32.2%–46.0% CI
Away FT34.6%28.1%–41.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.6%
2+ goals39.4%
3+ goals15.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away54.3%