Premiership · 2025/26
2026-05-01 · 19:45
12.7234.1%
X3.3627.6%
22.4238.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Livingston
DLLDDLLDDD
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM
Aberdeen
LLLLLLDLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.20
2.00
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
30%
90%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.30
Against
5.60
11.10
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.20
2.00
Goals conceded
2.00
3.30
Total goals
2.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
90%9/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Livingston attack

1.30goals per match
Aberdeen conceded2.00
Matchup

Aberdeen attack

0.20goals per match
Livingston conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.00
1.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.60
11.10
Match total
9.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.90
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
26.70
Match total
25.60

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
3.70
On target
1.60
12%
Conversion
2%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches620
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.1%30.6%-3.4 pp
Draw27.6%28.7%+1.1 pp
Away38.3%40.6%+2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.527.9%
BTTS56.6%

Historical average

1.261.40

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
0-110.5%
1-28.7%
1-08.1%
0-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.035.07
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=620.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.533.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches188
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.6%20.8%–33.3% CI
Draw FT38.8%32.2%–46.0% CI
Away FT34.6%28.1%–41.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.6%
2+ goals39.4%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away54.3%