Premiership · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 15:00
11.6556.3%
X3.8124.4%
24.8119.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
St Mirren
LWWDLDWLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Livingston
LLLLLLDDLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
2.20
10%
Over 2.5
60%
0%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.60
1.00
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.30
Against
6.70
10.50
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
2.20
1.50
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
St Mirren attack
0.60goals per matchLivingston conceded2.20Matchup
Livingston attack
0.80goals per matchSt Mirren conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
5.30
Corners against
6.70
10.50
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.30
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
20.80
Match total
21.60
Shots
12.90N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
3.80
On target
2.40
5%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches671
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.3%59.3%+3.0 pp
Draw24.4%23.8%-0.5 pp
Away19.3%16.8%-2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.529.5%
BTTS54.4%
Historical average
1.85–0.96
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.3%
1-011.5%
1-110.1%
2-08.9%
0-06.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.09–3.93
Average total10.03
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=671.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.531.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches188
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT47.3%40.3%–54.5% CI
Draw FT36.7%30.1%–43.8% CI
Away FT16.0%11.4%–21.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.5%
2+ goals39.9%
3+ goals19.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.2%
Away39.4%