Premiership · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 15:00
11.9547.6%
X3.4127.2%
23.6825.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hearts
DDWWWDWWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Motherwell
DWDDLDWWLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.40
0.50
Conceded
0.90
20%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.00
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.70
Against
3.90
10.10
Total
7.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.40
0.50
Goals conceded
0.90
1.80
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hearts attack
1.30goals per matchMotherwell conceded0.90Matchup
Motherwell attack
1.40goals per matchHearts conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.70
Corners against
3.90
10.10
Match total
7.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.30
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.70N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
23.70
Match total
26.40
Shots
15.30N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
4.70
On target
4.60
8%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches905
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.6%46.0%-1.6 pp
Draw27.2%28.0%+0.7 pp
Away25.2%26.1%+0.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS55.6%
Historical average
1.56–1.12
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.8%
1-011.0%
2-18.8%
1-28.1%
2-07.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.68–4.41
Average total10.09
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=905.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.543.0%
Over 11.531.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches273
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.7%32.2%–43.6% CI
Draw FT39.6%33.9%–45.5% CI
Away FT22.7%18.1%–28.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.3%
2+ goals42.5%
3+ goals16.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home59.7%
Away45.8%