Premiership · 2025/26
2026-04-05 · 14:00
16.0915.2%
X4.2022.0%
21.4762.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Livingston
LDLLDDLLDD
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM
Hearts
LDWWLWWLLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
1.90
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.20
Against
4.20
11.20
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.90
Goals conceded
1.10
3.00
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Livingston attack

1.10goals per match
Hearts conceded1.10
Matchup

Hearts attack

1.20goals per match
Livingston conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.20
11.20
Match total
9.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.80
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
27.40
Match total
25.50

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
3.70
On target
4.20
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches136
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.2%12.5%-2.7 pp
Draw22.0%20.6%-1.4 pp
Away62.8%66.9%+4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.534.6%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

0.822.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.5%
0-211.8%
0-18.8%
0-38.8%
2-26.6%

Comparable corner averages

3.846.16
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=135.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.541.5%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.5%5.0%–28.1% CI
Draw FT46.9%30.9%–63.6% CI
Away FT40.6%25.5%–57.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.9%
2+ goals46.9%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.5%
Away59.4%