Premiership · 2025/26
2026-04-04 · 15:00
12.1443.3%
X3.3727.5%
23.1729.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
St Mirren
LLWWDLDWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Aberdeen
WLLLLLLDLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
0.40
Scored
0.50
1.20
Conceded
1.90
20%
Over 2.5
40%
0%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.40
Against
5.40
10.30
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.40
Goals scored
0.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.90
1.60
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
St Mirren attack
0.40goals per matchAberdeen conceded1.90Matchup
Aberdeen attack
0.50goals per matchSt Mirren conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.40
10.30
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.90N=10
2.40
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.10N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
21.00
Match total
25.40
Shots
12.70N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.80
On target
2.40
3%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,004
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.3%43.4%+0.1 pp
Draw27.5%28.3%+0.8 pp
Away29.2%28.3%-0.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS53.6%
Historical average
1.50–1.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.4%
1-010.2%
2-18.7%
1-27.8%
2-07.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.60–4.43
Average total10.02
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,003.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.529.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches305
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT34.1%29.0%–39.6% CI
Draw FT38.7%33.4%–44.3% CI
Away FT27.2%22.5%–32.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.1%
2+ goals43.3%
3+ goals15.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.1%
Away46.9%