Premiership · 2025/26
2026-03-21 · 15:00
11.8749.6%
X3.4926.6%
23.9023.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Motherwell
WDWWWWWDWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Hibernian
DWLLDWLLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.50
0.10
Conceded
1.60
20%
Over 2.5
60%
10%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.00
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.60N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.40
Against
5.40
7.00
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.50
0.10
Goals conceded
1.60
2.00
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Motherwell attack
1.90goals per matchHibernian conceded1.60Matchup
Hibernian attack
1.50goals per matchMotherwell conceded0.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.40
7.00
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.20
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
26.50
Match total
24.60
Shots
15.50N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
6.70
On target
4.30
12%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches931
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.6%47.6%-2.0 pp
Draw26.6%27.7%+1.1 pp
Away23.8%24.7%+0.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.9%
BTTS53.1%
Historical average
1.56–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.8%
1-011.8%
2-18.7%
0-18.1%
0-07.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.91–4.23
Average total10.14
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=931.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches290
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.3%32.9%–44.0% CI
Draw FT38.3%32.9%–44.0% CI
Away FT23.4%18.9%–28.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.34
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.8%
2+ goals38.3%
3+ goals15.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.5%
Away44.1%