Premiership · 2025/26
2026-03-04 · 20:00
16.0615.3%
X4.5120.5%
21.4464.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Aberdeen
WLDWDWDLWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Celtic
LWWLWLWDWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.70
1.50
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.80
2.00
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.90N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.50
Against
4.70
11.40
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
3.60
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Aberdeen attack
2.10goals per matchCeltic conceded1.60Matchup
Celtic attack
1.70goals per matchAberdeen conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.00
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.70
11.40
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.30
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.70N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
26.50
Match total
20.70
Shots
13.60N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
5.60
On target
4.00
15%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches114
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.3%21.9%+6.7 pp
Draw20.5%12.3%-8.2 pp
Away64.2%65.8%+1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS50.9%
Historical average
1.02–1.95
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-113.2%
0-210.5%
0-39.6%
1-39.6%
1-29.6%
Comparable corner averages
3.77–6.29
Average total10.06
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=114.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.546.5%
Over 11.528.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.8%5.9%–32.5% CI
Draw FT18.5%8.2%–36.7% CI
Away FT66.7%47.8%–81.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.52
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.2%
2+ goals48.1%
3+ goals18.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home25.9%
Away74.1%