Premiership · 2024/25
2025-05-17 · 12:30
11.2475.9%
X6.7613.9%
29.3010.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Celtic
WWWWWWLWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
St Mirren
WWLLWWLDLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
3.60
Scored
1.50
0.60
Conceded
1.50
90%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
2.40
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
8.90N=10
For
4.40N=10
2.50
Against
4.70
11.40
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.60
Goals scored
1.50
0.60
Goals conceded
1.50
4.20
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Celtic attack
3.60goals per matchSt Mirren conceded1.50Matchup
St Mirren attack
1.50goals per matchCeltic conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
2.00
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.90N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
2.50
Corners against
4.70
11.40
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.40N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.00
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.10N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
16.90
Match total
22.50
Shots
17.30N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
7.10
On target
4.00
21%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches29
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.9%69.0%-7.0 pp
Draw13.9%17.2%+3.3 pp
Away10.1%13.8%+3.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.579.3%
Over 3.555.2%
BTTS69.0%
Historical average
2.90–1.03
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.8%
5-110.3%
4-16.9%
3-16.9%
0-06.9%
Comparable corner averages
7.55–3.38
Average total10.93
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.9%
Over 9.569.0%
Over 10.562.1%
Over 11.544.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.82
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals36.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.6%
Away45.5%