Premiership · 2024/25
2025-05-14 · 19:45
12.7234.6%
X3.3428.1%
22.5237.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Motherwell
WDDWLLWDDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Kilmarnock
LDDLLLLLLW
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.80
1.70
Conceded
2.40
70%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.30N=10
For
5.00N=10
6.60
Against
5.90
9.90
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.80
1.70
Goals conceded
2.40
3.40
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Motherwell attack

1.70goals per match
Kilmarnock conceded2.40
Matchup

Kilmarnock attack

0.80goals per match
Motherwell conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
6.60
Corners against
5.90
9.90
Match total
10.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.00
Match total
3.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
24.80
Match total
22.90

Shots

9.70N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
3.10
On target
3.70
18%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches551
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.6%31.4%-3.2 pp
Draw28.1%28.5%+0.4 pp
Away37.3%40.1%+2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS58.8%

Historical average

1.281.41

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
1-29.6%
0-19.6%
1-08.0%
0-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.955.10
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=551.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.5%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.532.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches161
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT25.5%19.4%–32.7% CI
Draw FT40.4%33.1%–48.1% CI
Away FT34.2%27.3%–41.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.5%
2+ goals39.1%
3+ goals16.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.1%
Away55.3%