Premiership · 2024/25
2025-05-14 · 19:45
11.6756.5%
X3.7924.9%
25.0818.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hearts
WLWWLWWLLW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
St Johnstone
DLLLWLDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.80
1.10
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.90
Against
7.00
10.70
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded
2.10
2.70
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hearts attack
1.60goals per matchSt Johnstone conceded2.10Matchup
St Johnstone attack
0.80goals per matchHearts conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
7.00
10.70
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.90
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.70N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
21.30
Match total
22.40
Shots
13.10N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
5.70
On target
2.30
12%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches635
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.5%57.5%+1.0 pp
Draw24.9%23.6%-1.3 pp
Away18.6%18.9%+0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.527.9%
BTTS52.9%
Historical average
1.78–0.98
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-112.6%
1-011.5%
1-110.9%
2-010.1%
0-16.6%
Comparable corner averages
6.04–3.86
Average total9.89
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=635.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.551.8%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.529.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches184
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT47.3%40.2%–54.5% CI
Draw FT33.7%27.3%–40.8% CI
Away FT19.0%14.0%–25.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.9%
2+ goals40.2%
3+ goals15.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.4%
Away41.3%