Premiership · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 15:00
12.1743.4%
X3.4427.4%
23.2229.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Dundee
WLLDDLLDLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Motherwell
WLLDLLLWLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.60
2.30
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.20
2.30
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
3.60N=10
6.30
Against
8.00
10.90
Total
11.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.60
2.30
Goals conceded
1.80
3.90
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Dundee attack
1.60goals per matchMotherwell conceded1.80Matchup
Motherwell attack
0.60goals per matchDundee conceded2.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.20
1.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
6.30
Corners against
8.00
10.90
Match total
11.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
2.70N=10
2.60
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.00N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
19.30
Match total
22.60
Shots
11.90N=10
Shots
6.80N=10
3.90
On target
2.30
13%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches698
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.4%43.4%+0.0 pp
Draw27.4%28.5%+1.1 pp
Away29.2%28.1%-1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.528.4%
BTTS55.6%
Historical average
1.50–1.18
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.3%
2-19.9%
1-09.7%
1-28.0%
0-07.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.48–4.39
Average total9.87
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=697.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.529.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches192
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.9%29.5%–42.9% CI
Draw FT39.1%32.4%–46.1% CI
Away FT25.0%19.4%–31.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.35
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.4%
2+ goals38.0%
3+ goals17.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.6%
Away42.2%