Premiership · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 15:00
13.9623.7%
X3.6126.0%
21.8750.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Motherwell
WLWDDWLLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Hearts
WLLDWDWWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.40
1.90
Conceded
1.10
80%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.00N=10
For
5.60N=10
6.20
Against
5.30
9.20
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.40
1.90
Goals conceded
1.10
3.50
Total goals
2.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Motherwell attack

1.60goals per match
Hearts conceded1.10
Matchup

Hearts attack

1.40goals per match
Motherwell conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.00N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
6.20
Corners against
5.30
9.20
Match total
10.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.30
Match total
3.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
23.40
Match total
20.00

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
3.30
On target
3.70
17%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches382
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.7%21.2%-2.5 pp
Draw26.0%27.2%+1.2 pp
Away50.2%51.6%+1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.527.7%
BTTS51.6%

Historical average

0.981.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
0-112.0%
1-210.2%
0-28.6%
0-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.615.54
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=382.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.5%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.530.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches113
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.6%12.5%–26.7% CI
Draw FT38.9%30.5%–48.2% CI
Away FT42.5%33.8%–51.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.2%
2+ goals43.4%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.1%
Away60.2%