Premiership · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 15:00
11.7752.9%
X3.5326.5%
24.5620.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Kilmarnock
DWWWLDWWLD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Motherwell
LWLLDLLLWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.70
0.80
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.00
Against
7.70
10.20
Total
12.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.70
0.80
Goals conceded
2.00
2.30
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Kilmarnock attack

1.50goals per match
Motherwell conceded2.00
Matchup

Motherwell attack

0.70goals per match
Kilmarnock conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.00
Corners against
7.70
10.20
Match total
12.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.20
Match total
4.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

8.40N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
19.50
Match total
23.30

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
4.50
On target
2.80
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches513
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.9%58.1%+5.2 pp
Draw26.5%23.4%-3.1 pp
Away20.5%18.5%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.7%
BTTS46.6%

Historical average

1.680.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.4%
1-111.5%
2-111.3%
2-010.5%
0-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.894.07
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=513.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.532.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches165
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT43.6%36.3%–51.3% CI
Draw FT38.8%31.7%–46.4% CI
Away FT17.6%12.5%–24.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.8%
2+ goals39.4%
3+ goals11.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.6%
Away41.2%