Premiership · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 15:00
12.7434.3%
X3.0530.8%
22.6934.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Motherwell
LWLWDDWLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
St Mirren
LWLWWLLWWL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.40
2.00
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.90
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
3.30N=10
For
3.70N=10
6.50
Against
5.50
9.80
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.40
2.00
Goals conceded
1.60
3.40
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Motherwell attack
1.40goals per matchSt Mirren conceded1.60Matchup
St Mirren attack
1.40goals per matchMotherwell conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.60
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
6.50
Corners against
5.50
9.80
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.00
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.50N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
22.90
Match total
23.20
Shots
10.00N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.30
On target
3.20
14%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches850
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.3%32.5%-1.8 pp
Draw30.8%33.9%+3.1 pp
Away34.9%33.6%-1.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.521.5%
BTTS50.4%
Historical average
1.13–1.17
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.9%
0-012.0%
0-110.2%
1-010.0%
2-18.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.77–4.86
Average total9.63
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=850.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.537.4%
Over 11.527.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches305
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT28.2%23.4%–33.5% CI
Draw FT45.6%40.1%–51.2% CI
Away FT26.2%21.6%–31.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.11
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.6%
2+ goals31.1%
3+ goals10.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.6%
Away43.3%