Premiership · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 15:00
12.7434.3%
X3.0530.8%
22.6934.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Motherwell
LWLWDDWLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
St Mirren
LWLWWLLWWL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.40
2.00
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.30N=10
For
3.70N=10
6.50
Against
5.50
9.80
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.40
2.00
Goals conceded
1.60
3.40
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Motherwell attack

1.40goals per match
St Mirren conceded1.60
Matchup

St Mirren attack

1.40goals per match
Motherwell conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.60
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
6.50
Corners against
5.50
9.80
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.00
Match total
3.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
22.90
Match total
23.20

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.30
On target
3.20
14%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches850
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.3%32.5%-1.8 pp
Draw30.8%33.9%+3.1 pp
Away34.9%33.6%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.521.5%
BTTS50.4%

Historical average

1.131.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.9%
0-012.0%
0-110.2%
1-010.0%
2-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.774.86
Average total9.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=850.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.537.4%
Over 11.527.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches305
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT28.2%23.4%–33.5% CI
Draw FT45.6%40.1%–51.2% CI
Away FT26.2%21.6%–31.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.6%
2+ goals31.1%
3+ goals10.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.6%
Away43.3%