Premiership · 2023/24
2024-05-15 · 19:45
12.7035.0%
X3.2928.7%
22.6036.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

St Mirren
DLLLWWWLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Hearts
WWWWWLLWDL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
0.90
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
5.60N=10
5.60
Against
7.50
10.50
Total
13.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
1.90
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

St Mirren attack

0.80goals per match
Hearts conceded1.40
Matchup

Hearts attack

1.20goals per match
St Mirren conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
5.60
Corners against
7.50
10.50
Match total
13.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.50
Match total
3.50
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
7.80N=10
21.90
Match total
18.90

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.50
On target
3.90
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches791
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.0%32.0%-3.0 pp
Draw28.7%29.0%+0.2 pp
Away36.3%39.1%+2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS52.5%

Historical average

1.171.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
0-111.4%
1-010.0%
0-08.2%
2-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.034.86
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=791.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.529.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches262
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.6%23.5%–34.4% CI
Draw FT39.3%33.6%–45.3% CI
Away FT32.1%26.7%–37.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.2%
2+ goals36.6%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.3%
Away52.3%