Premiership · 2023/24
2024-05-15 · 19:45
12.7035.0%
X3.2928.7%
22.6036.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
St Mirren
DLLLWWWLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Hearts
WWWWWLLWDL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.00
0.90
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
5.60N=10
5.60
Against
7.50
10.50
Total
13.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
1.90
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
St Mirren attack
0.80goals per matchHearts conceded1.40Matchup
Hearts attack
1.20goals per matchSt Mirren conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
5.60
Corners against
7.50
10.50
Match total
13.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.80N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.50
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
7.80N=10
21.90
Match total
18.90
Shots
10.80N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.50
On target
3.90
7%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches791
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.0%32.0%-3.0 pp
Draw28.7%29.0%+0.2 pp
Away36.3%39.1%+2.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS52.5%
Historical average
1.17–1.32
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.8%
0-111.4%
1-010.0%
0-08.2%
2-17.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.03–4.86
Average total9.90
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=791.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.529.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches262
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.6%23.5%–34.4% CI
Draw FT39.3%33.6%–45.3% CI
Away FT32.1%26.7%–37.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.2%
2+ goals36.6%
3+ goals11.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.3%
Away52.3%