Premiership · 2023/24
2024-05-15 · 19:45
11.5361.6%
X4.2522.2%
25.8016.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Aberdeen
LDDDDLWDWW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Livingston
LLLLLLDLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
2.60
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
2.20
1.20
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.30
Against
6.40
11.10
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
2.60
2.40
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Aberdeen attack
1.10goals per matchLivingston conceded2.60Matchup
Livingston attack
0.80goals per matchAberdeen conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
2.30N=10
5.30
Corners against
6.40
11.10
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.70
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.90N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
23.70
Match total
20.60
Shots
14.80N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
5.40
On target
2.60
7%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches310
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.6%64.2%+2.6 pp
Draw22.2%19.7%-2.5 pp
Away16.2%16.1%-0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS47.1%
Historical average
2.08–0.82
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-010.6%
2-010.3%
1-110.0%
2-19.4%
3-09.0%
Comparable corner averages
6.38–3.73
Average total10.11
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=310.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.533.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches77
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT49.4%38.5%–60.3% CI
Draw FT29.9%20.8%–40.8% CI
Away FT20.8%13.2%–31.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.47
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals40.3%
3+ goals20.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home62.3%
Away42.9%