Premiership · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 15:00
12.8333.4%
X3.0730.7%
22.6335.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Livingston
DDLLDWLLDW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
St Johnstone
LLDWLLWLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.60
1H goals
0.80
1.60
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
2.90N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.10
Against
8.80
8.00
Total
12.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
2.20
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Livingston attack
0.80goals per matchSt Johnstone conceded1.30Matchup
St Johnstone attack
0.80goals per matchLivingston conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
2.90N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.10
Corners against
8.80
8.00
Match total
12.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.30
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.70N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
23.30
Match total
19.70
Shots
10.00N=10
Shots
7.50N=10
2.70
On target
2.60
8%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches620
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.4%30.8%-2.6 pp
Draw30.7%33.5%+2.8 pp
Away35.9%35.6%-0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.518.4%
BTTS48.2%
Historical average
1.06–1.14
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.1%
0-012.4%
0-111.9%
1-09.0%
2-17.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.62–4.62
Average total9.24
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=620.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.554.8%
Over 9.544.5%
Over 10.533.2%
Over 11.525.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches230
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT25.2%20.0%–31.2% CI
Draw FT47.8%41.5%–54.3% CI
Away FT27.0%21.6%–33.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.08
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.5%
2+ goals30.9%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.9%
Away47.0%