Premiership · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 15:00
11.6756.4%
X4.0223.5%
24.6920.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hearts
LWDWWWDWDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Dundee
WDLWDLLLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.40
0.90
Conceded
1.90
30%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.90N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.90
Against
5.60
12.80
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.40
0.90
Goals conceded
1.90
2.80
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hearts attack
1.90goals per matchDundee conceded1.90Matchup
Dundee attack
1.40goals per matchHearts conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.60
12.80
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.80
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
22.70
Match total
21.50
Shots
15.30N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
5.50
On target
2.60
12%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches354
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.4%58.2%+1.7 pp
Draw23.5%23.2%-0.3 pp
Away20.1%18.6%-1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.532.2%
BTTS56.5%
Historical average
1.90–1.03
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-111.6%
1-010.5%
2-010.2%
1-19.6%
1-27.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.17–4.04
Average total10.21
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=354.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.4%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.532.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches88
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.9%38.7%–59.1% CI
Draw FT33.0%24.0%–43.3% CI
Away FT18.2%11.5%–27.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.59
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.5%
2+ goals48.9%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home67.0%
Away40.9%