Premiership · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 15:00
11.6656.9%
X3.8124.8%
25.1718.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Motherwell
DDLWDWLLDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Livingston
LLLLLLLDLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.70
1.40
Conceded
2.30
40%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
2.10
1.30
2H goals
0.90
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.50
Against
6.50
8.60
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.70
1.40
Goals conceded
2.30
3.00
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Motherwell attack

1.60goals per match
Livingston conceded2.30
Matchup

Livingston attack

0.70goals per match
Motherwell conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
2.40N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.50
8.60
Match total
8.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.10
Match total
2.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
21.00
Match total
22.50

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.10
On target
2.60
14%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches482
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.9%60.2%+3.2 pp
Draw24.8%21.6%-3.2 pp
Away18.3%18.3%-0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.525.1%
BTTS49.0%

Historical average

1.720.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.3%
2-112.9%
2-010.8%
1-19.5%
0-06.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.203.85
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=482.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.541.5%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches150
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT51.3%43.4%–59.2% CI
Draw FT34.0%26.9%–41.9% CI
Away FT14.7%9.9%–21.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.7%
2+ goals38.0%
3+ goals14.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.3%
Away35.3%