Premiership · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 15:00
12.4937.8%
X3.2229.2%
22.8533.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Dundee
LLLWWDWLDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
St Mirren
LLLWWLDLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.10
2.10
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
4.80N=10
7.80
Against
5.80
13.60
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Dundee attack
1.30goals per matchSt Mirren conceded1.60Matchup
St Mirren attack
1.00goals per matchDundee conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
7.80
Corners against
5.80
13.60
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.40
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.20N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
17.80
Match total
21.50
Shots
13.40N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.60
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches643
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.8%34.4%-3.4 pp
Draw29.2%30.5%+1.3 pp
Away33.0%35.1%+2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS52.9%
Historical average
1.23–1.26
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.4%
1-010.1%
0-19.8%
0-08.1%
1-27.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.11–4.63
Average total9.74
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=643.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.1%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.526.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches202
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.2%21.6%–33.7% CI
Draw FT42.1%35.5%–49.0% CI
Away FT30.7%24.7%–37.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.35
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.3%
2+ goals40.1%
3+ goals13.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home49.0%
Away53.0%