Premiership · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 15:00
12.2442.2%
X3.3028.6%
23.2329.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Kilmarnock
LWWDDWWLWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Hearts
WLWWWWWLLW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.40
1.10
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.10
Against
6.00
9.90
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
2.90
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Kilmarnock attack

1.80goals per match
Hearts conceded1.30
Matchup

Hearts attack

1.40goals per match
Kilmarnock conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.00
9.90
Match total
11.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.40
Match total
4.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
24.20
Match total
21.30

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
5.00
On target
3.70
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,018
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.2%41.8%-0.3 pp
Draw28.6%29.9%+1.2 pp
Away29.2%28.3%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS55.4%

Historical average

1.471.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
1-010.0%
2-19.2%
0-07.7%
2-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.514.46
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,018.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.529.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches296
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.1%29.9%–40.7% CI
Draw FT39.9%34.5%–45.5% CI
Away FT25.0%20.4%–30.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.6%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals14.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.4%
Away43.6%