Premiership · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 15:00
11.3769.0%
X4.8319.6%
28.2311.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hearts
WLWDWWWDWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Livingston
LLLLLLLLDL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.50
0.70
Conceded
2.00
20%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.90
Against
6.50
12.90
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.50
0.70
Goals conceded
2.00
2.30
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Hearts attack

1.60goals per match
Livingston conceded2.00
Matchup

Livingston attack

0.50goals per match
Hearts conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.20
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
5.90
Corners against
6.50
12.90
Match total
9.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.10
Match total
3.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
22.30
Match total
22.70

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
5.40
On target
2.60
10%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches148
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.0%70.9%+2.0 pp
Draw19.6%16.2%-3.3 pp
Away11.5%12.8%+1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS48.6%

Historical average

2.100.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.9%
2-012.2%
1-012.2%
3-08.1%
4-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

7.153.03
Average total10.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=148.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.2%
Over 9.555.4%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.5%42.2%–71.5% CI
Draw FT30.0%18.1%–45.4% CI
Away FT12.5%5.5%–26.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.68

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals47.5%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away40.0%