Premiership · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 15:00
13.6226.1%
X3.3028.6%
22.0845.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Livingston
LLDDLLDWLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Aberdeen
LLWDLLLLLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
0.70
1.70
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.20N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.00
Against
6.20
8.20
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.70
1.70
Goals conceded
1.80
2.30
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Livingston attack

0.60goals per match
Aberdeen conceded1.80
Matchup

Aberdeen attack

0.70goals per match
Livingston conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.20
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.20N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.20
8.20
Match total
10.10
30%3/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.60
Match total
3.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
23.00
Match total
24.40

Shots

10.30N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
2.60
On target
3.20
6%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches125
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.1%22.4%-3.7 pp
Draw28.6%32.8%+4.2 pp
Away45.4%44.8%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS50.4%

Historical average

0.981.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.6%
0-111.2%
0-09.6%
1-08.8%
0-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.505.15
Average total9.66

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=125.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.2%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.9%5.2%–25.0% CI
Draw FT52.4%37.7%–66.6% CI
Away FT35.7%23.0%–50.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals40.5%
3+ goals7.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away59.5%