Premiership · 2023/24
2024-03-31 · 12:00
112.207.7%
X6.6814.1%
21.2078.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Livingston
LLLDDLLDWL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Celtic
DWWLWWDWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.90
1.60
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.30N=10
For
10.30N=10
4.70
Against
3.00
8.00
Total
13.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.90
1.60
Goals conceded
0.80
2.20
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Livingston attack

0.60goals per match
Celtic conceded0.80
Matchup

Celtic attack

1.90goals per match
Livingston conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.30
2H goals scored
1.40
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
10.30N=10
4.70
Corners against
3.00
8.00
Match total
13.30
30%3/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.50
Match total
2.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
24.30
Match total
19.00

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
22.80N=10
2.50
On target
7.20
6%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches27
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home7.7%7.4%-0.3 pp
Draw14.1%7.4%-6.6 pp
Away78.2%85.2%+6.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.6%
Over 2.581.5%
Over 3.555.6%
BTTS63.0%

Historical average

0.812.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-222.2%
1-418.5%
1-314.8%
0-411.1%
0-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

2.936.96
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=27.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.6%
Over 9.544.4%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.85

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.5%
Away76.9%