Premiership · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 15:00
12.0146.8%
X3.4427.3%
23.6425.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hearts
WWLWDWWWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Kilmarnock
LLDWDWLDDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.80
0.60
Conceded
1.00
20%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
0.70
80%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
7.50N=10
For
6.40N=10
5.30
Against
5.20
12.80
Total
11.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
0.60
Goals conceded
1.00
2.20
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hearts attack
1.60goals per matchKilmarnock conceded1.00Matchup
Kilmarnock attack
0.80goals per matchHearts conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.20
12.80
Match total
11.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.30
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
22.70
Match total
22.80
Shots
16.70N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
5.80
On target
3.10
10%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches651
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.8%47.5%+0.7 pp
Draw27.3%28.7%+1.4 pp
Away25.8%23.8%-2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.525.7%
BTTS53.9%
Historical average
1.52–1.04
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.4%
1-012.1%
2-111.4%
0-08.0%
0-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.39–4.50
Average total9.88
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=651.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.530.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches222
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT41.4%35.2%–48.0% CI
Draw FT35.1%29.2%–41.6% CI
Away FT23.4%18.3%–29.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.6%
2+ goals37.4%
3+ goals17.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.9%
Away44.1%