Premiership · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 15:00
11.1085.6%
X9.1910.2%
222.684.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Celtic
WWDWLWWWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
St Johnstone
LLDLLDWLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
2.60
Scored
0.60
0.80
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.70
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
10.30N=10
For
4.50N=10
2.90
Against
7.10
13.20
Total
11.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
0.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.40
3.40
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Celtic attack
2.60goals per matchSt Johnstone conceded1.40Matchup
St Johnstone attack
0.60goals per matchCeltic conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
10.30N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
2.90
Corners against
7.10
13.20
Match total
11.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.60
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.80N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
18.30
Match total
19.90
Shots
19.50N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
7.30
On target
2.50
13%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches49
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home85.6%89.8%+4.2 pp
Draw10.2%6.1%-4.1 pp
Away4.2%4.1%-0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.551.0%
BTTS40.8%
Historical average
2.98–0.63
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-020.4%
1-012.2%
3-18.2%
5-08.2%
4-08.2%
Comparable corner averages
9.18–2.31
Average total11.49
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=49.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.577.6%
Over 9.567.3%
Over 10.551.0%
Over 11.542.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT71.4%45.4%–88.3% CI
Draw FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Away FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Remaining goals
2.21
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals78.6%
3+ goals28.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home78.6%
Away35.7%