Premiership · 2022/23
2023-05-27 · 12:30
11.1979.1%
X7.2313.0%
211.877.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Celtic
WWWWWWWWDD
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Aberdeen
LLLLLWWWLL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
2.90
Scored
0.80
0.80
Conceded
2.40
80%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
2.00
1H goals
1.70
1.70
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
9.00N=10
For
5.00N=10
1.70
Against
7.10
10.70
Total
12.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
0.80
0.80
Goals conceded
2.40
3.70
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Celtic attack
2.90goals per matchAberdeen conceded2.40Matchup
Aberdeen attack
0.80goals per matchCeltic conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
9.00N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
1.70
Corners against
7.10
10.70
Match total
12.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.10
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.20N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
16.70
Match total
21.00
Shots
18.80N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
7.10
On target
2.50
15%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches41
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.1%65.9%-13.2 pp
Draw13.0%19.5%+6.5 pp
Away7.9%14.6%+6.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.8%
Over 2.563.4%
Over 3.536.6%
BTTS53.7%
Historical average
2.34–0.80
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-014.6%
2-19.8%
3-09.8%
1-19.8%
4-09.8%
Comparable corner averages
7.17–2.90
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=41.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.534.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Remaining goals
2.09
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals72.7%
3+ goals36.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home81.8%
Away63.6%