Premiership · 2022/23
2023-05-24 · 19:45
11.9448.8%
X3.4827.2%
23.9324.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Aberdeen
LDWLWWWWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
St Mirren
LLWLDDWLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.30
0.70
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.90
Against
5.30
11.90
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
0.70
Goals conceded
1.90
2.30
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Aberdeen attack
1.60goals per matchSt Mirren conceded1.90Matchup
St Mirren attack
1.30goals per matchAberdeen conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.10
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.30
11.90
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.60N=10
5.10
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
22.20
Match total
20.00
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
14.00N=10
4.10
On target
3.80
12%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches625
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.8%46.2%-2.5 pp
Draw27.2%27.8%+0.7 pp
Away24.1%25.9%+1.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.524.5%
BTTS50.7%
Historical average
1.51–1.03
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.7%
1-011.4%
2-19.6%
0-08.6%
0-18.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.57–4.39
Average total9.96
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=625.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.530.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches213
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.2%29.1%–41.8% CI
Draw FT37.6%31.3%–44.2% CI
Away FT27.2%21.7%–33.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.6%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals13.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.2%
Away43.7%