Premiership · 2022/23
2023-05-20 · 12:30
12.2841.4%
X3.4827.2%
23.0131.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hearts
WWWWLWWLWL
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Aberdeen
LLLLLLWWWL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
2.40
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
2.40
70%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.70
1.70
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
5.60N=10
5.40
Against
7.30
11.10
Total
12.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
2.40
3.40
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hearts attack
2.40goals per matchAberdeen conceded2.40Matchup
Aberdeen attack
0.80goals per matchHearts conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
5.40
Corners against
7.30
11.10
Match total
12.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.60
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
23.10
Match total
20.90
Shots
13.60N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.90
On target
3.10
18%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches448
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.4%42.6%+1.2 pp
Draw27.2%29.7%+2.5 pp
Away31.4%27.7%-3.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.2%
BTTS57.4%
Historical average
1.52–1.19
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.9%
2-110.9%
2-08.9%
1-28.5%
1-07.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.64–4.49
Average total10.13
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=447.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.2%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.531.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches123
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.2%30.1%–47.0% CI
Draw FT39.8%31.6%–48.7% CI
Away FT22.0%15.5%–30.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.41
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.2%
2+ goals40.7%
3+ goals17.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.9%
Away43.9%